Not Particularly Great Mortgage News

This just came to my inbox. Kind of a big deal...

Good Afternoon William Raveis Sales Associates,
If you are working with clients aiming to buy and finance a home in the near future, you’ll want to be sure to close the transaction before the end of the year.  There are several changes on the horizon for the mortgage industry that may make it more difficult and more costly to obtain a home mortgage.  To beat these changes, buyers should aim to sign an agreement by November 1st  so they can allow time before the holidays for an orderly 2013 closing.

Here’s what to look out for in 2014:

Tighter Guidelines on the Amount You Can Borrow
In January of 2014, a new mortgage rule from the Consumer Federal Protection Bureau (CFPB) goes into effect.  The rule, which impacts the entire industry, introduces a concept that will discourage lenders from making mortgage loans where the debt to income ratio exceeds 43%.

So what does this mean? If these rules were in effect last year, roughly one-fifth of all home-owners would have had to either increase their down payment or buy a less expensive house.  William Raveis Mortgage estimates that the implementation of this rule alone could negatively impact the maximum amount that a buyer could borrow by about 5%.

Negative Impact to Interest Rates
It is widely assumed that interest rates cannot stay at historical lows.  The Fed has already begun pulling back on their strategies that have kept rates artificially low, and we have seen rates jump upwards in excess of 1% since the summer.  In addition to the financial and monetary factors that will push rates upwards, there are regulatory factors that will negatively impact rates as well.  Firstly, the role that Fannie and Freddie play in the mortgage market will be diminishing.  We have seen these entities decrease their maximum loan amounts, and they are scheduled to drop even further in 2014.  The government is hoping that private investors will fill the void, but with few entities in this arena, we can expect that private investors will want a higher return on their investment – pushing interest rates to borrowers upward.

What Action Can you Take?
1.     Make sure to inform your buyers of these regulatory changes.  Sellers will also be interested, as the potential pool of buyers may be impacted by these changes. For more on this see http://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/201301_cfpb_ability-to-repay-summary.pdf

2.     If you are near your maximum mortgage amount and deciding on a closing date, make sure to schedule the closing before the end of the year.  Signing an agreement in early November will assure a smoother transaction.

3.     If your buyers aren’t going to buy before year’s end, make sure that they are pre-approved again, in accordance with the changes, so they can confirm their maximum borrowing amount.

Please feel free to contact any William Raveis Mortgage Banker for further explanation or assistance.

Best Regards,

Ryan


Ryan Raveis
Executive Vice President
Direct: (203) 925-4553